Rating Rationale
November 24, 2023 | Mumbai
Goodluck India Limited
Ratings upgraded to 'CRISIL A/Stable/CRISIL A1'
 
Rating Action
Total Bank Loan Facilities RatedRs.754.75 Crore
Long Term RatingCRISIL A/Stable (Upgraded from 'CRISIL A-/Stable')
Short Term RatingCRISIL A1 (Upgraded from 'CRISIL A2+')
Note: None of the Directors on CRISIL Ratings Limited’s Board are members of rating committee and thus do not participate in discussion or assignment of any ratings. The Board of Directors also does not discuss any ratings at its meetings.
1 crore = 10 million
Refer to Annexure for Details of Instruments & Bank Facilities

Detailed Rationale

CRISIL Ratings has upgraded its ratings on the bank facilities of Goodluck India Ltd (GIL) to 'CRISIL A/Stable/CRISIL A1’ from 'CRISIL A-/Stable/CRISIL A2+

 

The upgrade reflects significant improvement in the business and financial risk profiles of GIL. Healthy and consistent growth in scale of operations, a healthy order book and steady operating margin have supported the business risk profile. Operating income grew 18.6% to Rs 3,076 crore in fiscal 2023, from Rs 2,594 crore in fiscal 2022. Further, in the first half of fiscal 2024, the company achieved revenue of Rs 1,744 crore (as against revenue of around Rs 1,600 crore in the first half of fiscal 2023). GIL is likely to clock revenue of Rs 3,400-3,500 crore for full fiscal 2024, led by increase in volume and realisations. Healthy demand from multiple end-user industries such as automobiles, construction, power, oil & gas will drive growth in volume. A vast customer profile in the domestic and overseas markets offers geographical diversity. Order book worth Rs 1,200 crore (as of October 2023) provides healthy revenue visibility over the medium term. GIL has recently acquired its group company, Goodluck Defence and Aerospace Pvt Ltd (which is not operational at present) to focus on defence related products, which will also contribute to overall revenue going ahead. The established track record and clientele will also support the business risk profile. Operating margin has remained stable at 7-8% for the three years ended March 31, 2023, and rose to 8.28% for the first half of fiscal 2024 (as against 6.60% in the corresponding period of the previous fiscal), driven by the company’s focus on enhancing its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA per ton (which has improved by 25-30% in last 2-3 years).

 

An efficient receivables collection period and inventory management system have ensured lower dependence on debt; gross current assets (GCAs) have ranged between 115 and 120 days over the two fiscals ended March 31, 2023 (vis-à-vis more than 140 days, previously) and are expected to range from 120 to 125 days going ahead.

 

Networth rose to around Rs 620 crore as on March 31, 2023, from Rs 465 crore, a year earlier, backed by equity infusion and accretion to reserves. Total outside liabilities to adjusted networth ratio stood at 1.3 times as on March 31, 2023, and should remain below one time going forward. The company plans to raise Rs 200 crore through a qualified institutional placement (QIP) and the proceeds will be utilised for capacity expansion, repayment of term debt and for other working capital requirements. With no major debt-funded capital expenditure plans and the fund-raising capabilities of the company, the financial risk profile is expected to improve further.

 

The ratings continue to reflect the established position of GIL in the steel processing industry, its diversified product profile and healthy scale of operations. These strengths are partially offset by the moderate working capital requirement and susceptibility to volatility in raw material prices and intense competition in the fragmented steel industry.

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description

Strengths:

  • Established presence in the steel processing industry: GIL has leveraged the three-decade-long experience of its promoters in the steel processing industry, to expand its capacity and product portfolio. The company offers a diverse range of products with a high level of customisation. GIL has a strong presence in the domestic as well as export markets. Revenue has grown at a compound annual rate of 23% over the three fiscals through March 2023, and should maintain a healthy pace of growth over the medium term. The company is being managed by its promoters, along with their family members. They are aided by a team of professionals with each individual handling separate responsibilities. Any change in the business structure, impacting the credit profile of the company, is a key monitorable.

 

  • Diversified product profile: The company has a diversified product profile across four key segments, engineering structures and precision fabrication, forgings, precision pipes and auto tubes, and cold-rolled coil pipes and hollow sections. It specialises in stainless steel, duplex, carbon, alloy steel forgings and flanges, which are used in more than 100 products. The end-user industry base is well-diversified, and includes players from various segments, such as automotives and trucks, heavy commercial vehicles, agriculture machinery, equipment, valves, fittings, petrochemical applications, hardware, off-road, railway equipment, general industrial equipment, aerospace and defence. The company has also recently acquired Goodluck Defence and Aerospace Pvt Ltd to focus on the defence related products. It has already invested around Rs 40 crore in this entity and expects healthy growth in revenue contribution from this segment. The diversified end-user profile and product range shield the company from downturns in any specific industry.

 

  • Healthy scale of operations: Operating income rose to Rs 3,075.7 crore in fiscal 2023 (from Rs 2,594 crore in fiscal 2022); revenue of Rs 1,744 crore was generated over the six months ended September 30, 2023, and is likely to lie in the range of Rs 3,400-3,500 crore for full fiscal 2024. Growth in scale is supported by increase in prices of steel products as well as volumetric sales. With a healthy order book of around Rs 1,200 crore, the company is expected to maintain a similar pace of growth over the medium term. The established market position, along with a diversified product profile and end-user industry base, across the domestic and overseas markets, and a healthy order book should aid revenue growth of 10-15% over the medium term.

 

Weaknesses:

  • Moderate working capital requirement: GCAs stood at 119 days as on March 31, 2023, driven by receivables of 50 days and inventory of 66 days. Moderate working capital requirement has led to high bank limit utilisation. However, dependence on bank limit has come down as higher export sales led to early payment realisations. Working capital management and extent of bank limit utilisation remain key monitorables.

 

  • Susceptibility to volatility in raw material prices due to intense competition in the fragmented industry: The steel industry is inherently cyclical and remains vulnerable to volatility in raw material prices and price realisations. The key raw material, hot-rolled coils, accounts for 70% of the total raw material cost. Moreover, the company does not have much room to pass on the impact of increase in raw material prices to customers in short-term contacts. Even in case of long-term contracts, price changes can be passed on only after a lag of 1-2 months. Furthermore, intense competition and limited product differentiation can exert pressure on the margin. 

Liquidity: Strong

Expected cash accrual of Rs 100-130 crore should suffice to cover debt obligation of Rs 45-60 crore over the medium term. Bank limit utilisation averaged 85% over the 12 months ended September 30, 2023. Current ratio was healthy at 1.31 times as on March 31, 2023, and is projected over 1.5 times as on March 31, 2024. Low gearing and healthy networth, along with fund raising capabilities, will support financial flexibility over the medium term.

Outlook: Stable

CRISIL Ratings believes the business profile of GIL will improve further, backed by a healthy order book and diversified product profile.

Rating Sensitivity factors

Upward factor

  • Sustained growth in revenue by more than 25% with EBITDA of above Rs 8,000 maintained per metric ton.
  • Better working capital management and absence of any major, debt-funded capex, keeping gearing below one time on a sustained basis.

 

Downward factor

  • Decline in operating margin below 6%, leading to lower cash accrual.
  • Stretch in the working capital cycle on continued basis or any major debt-funded capex weakening the financial risk profile.

About the Company

Incorporated in 1986, GIL (formerly, Goodluck Steel Tubes Ltd) manufactures sheets, pipes, engineering structures, fabricated structures, forgings, and automobile tubes. The company has five manufacturing facilities in Sikanderabad (Uttar Pradesh) and one recently operational in Kutch (Gujarat), with a total installed capacity of more than 300,000 tonne per annum. The company is listed on Bombay Stock Exchange Ltd and National Stock Exchange Ltd.

Key Financial Indicators

As on / for the period ended March 31

 

2023

2022

Operating income

Rs crore

3,075.77

2,594.50

Reported profit after tax

Rs crore

86.56

75.77

PAT margins

%

2.83

2.89

Adjusted Debt/Adjusted Net worth

Times

1.05

1.38

Interest coverage

Times

3.31

3.24

Any other information: Not applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
CRISIL Ratings` complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments and are included (where applicable) in the 'Annexure - Details of Instrument' in this Rating Rationale.

CRISIL Ratings will disclose complexity level for all securities - including those that are yet to be placed - based on available information. The complexity level for instruments may be updated, where required, in the rating rationale published subsequent to the issuance of the instrument when details on such features are available.

For more details on the CRISIL Ratings` complexity levels please visit www.crisilratings.com. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk with queries on specific instruments.

Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)

ISIN

Name of instrument

Date of

allotment

Coupon

rate (%)

Maturity

date

Issue size

(Rs.Crore)

Complexity

level

Rating assigned with outlook

NA

Bank guarantee

NA

NA

NA

31.5

NA

CRISIL A1

NA

Long-term loan

NA

NA

Dec-2024

23

NA

CRISIL A/Stable

NA

Bill discounting

NA

NA

NA

2.5

NA

CRISIL A/Stable

NA

Standby Line of

Credit

NA

NA

NA

10

NA

CRISIL A/Stable

NA

Letter of credit

NA

NA

NA

110.99

NA

CRISIL A1

NA

Working capital

term loan

NA

NA

Dec-27

97.8

NA

CRISIL A/Stable

NA

Working capital

demand loan

NA

NA

NA

16

NA

CRISIL A/Stable

NA

Cash credit & working capital demand loan

NA

NA

NA

381.12

NA

CRISIL A/Stable

NA

Term loan

NA

NA

Sep-25

24.77

NA

CRISIL A/Stable

NA

Rupee term loan

NA

NA

Dec-27

15.77

NA

CRISIL A/Stable

NA

Proposed fund-based bank limit

NA

NA

NA

41.3

NA

CRISIL A/Stable

Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2023 (History) 2022  2021  2020  Start of 2020
Instrument Type Outstanding Amount Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Fund Based Facilities LT 612.26 CRISIL A/Stable   -- 19-12-22 CRISIL A-/Stable 07-07-21 CRISIL A3+ / CRISIL BBB/Positive 25-02-20 CRISIL BBB/Stable CRISIL BBB/Stable
      --   -- 05-05-22 CRISIL A-/Stable 02-03-21 CRISIL BBB/Stable   -- --
      --   -- 14-03-22 CRISIL A-/Stable   --   -- --
Non-Fund Based Facilities ST 142.49 CRISIL A1   -- 19-12-22 CRISIL A2+ 07-07-21 CRISIL A3+ 25-02-20 CRISIL A3+ / CRISIL BBB/Stable CRISIL A3+ / CRISIL BBB/Stable
      --   -- 05-05-22 CRISIL A2+ 02-03-21 CRISIL A3+   -- --
      --   -- 14-03-22 CRISIL A2+   --   -- --
All amounts are in Rs.Cr.
Annexure - Details of Bank Lenders & Facilities
Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Name of Lender Rating
Bank Guarantee 16.5 IDFC FIRST Bank Limited CRISIL A1
Bank Guarantee 3 Bank of Baroda CRISIL A1
Bank Guarantee 12 State Bank of India CRISIL A1
Bill Discounting 2.5 Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Cash Credit & Working Capital Demand Loan 54.4 IDFC FIRST Bank Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Cash Credit & Working Capital Demand Loan 74 HDFC Bank Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Cash Credit & Working Capital Demand Loan 16 The Federal Bank Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Cash Credit & Working Capital Demand Loan 30.22 Bank of Baroda CRISIL A/Stable
Cash Credit & Working Capital Demand Loan 48 Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Cash Credit & Working Capital Demand Loan 146.5 State Bank of India CRISIL A/Stable
Cash Credit & Working Capital Demand Loan 12 Axis Bank Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Letter of Credit 15 Bank of Baroda CRISIL A1
Letter of Credit 8.49 IDFC FIRST Bank Limited CRISIL A1
Letter of Credit 28 The Federal Bank Limited CRISIL A1
Letter of Credit 25 Axis Bank Limited CRISIL A1
Letter of Credit 6 State Bank of India CRISIL A1
Letter of Credit 16 Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited CRISIL A1
Letter of Credit 12.5 HDFC Bank Limited CRISIL A1
Long Term Loan 6.75 HDFC Bank Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Long Term Loan 16.25 Axis Bank Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Proposed Fund-Based Bank Limits 41.3 Not Applicable CRISIL A/Stable
Rupee Term Loan 15.77 Bajaj Finance Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Standby Line of Credit 10 State Bank of India CRISIL A/Stable
Term Loan 24.77 IDFC FIRST Bank Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Working Capital Demand Loan 2.07 Bajaj Finance Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Working Capital Demand Loan 13.93 Bajaj Finance Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Working Capital Term Loan 28.21 HDFC Bank Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Working Capital Term Loan 16.41 IDFC FIRST Bank Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Working Capital Term Loan 5 IDFC FIRST Bank Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Working Capital Term Loan 28.81 State Bank of India CRISIL A/Stable
Working Capital Term Loan 7.68 Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Working Capital Term Loan 10.79 Axis Bank Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Working Capital Term Loan 0.9 Bajaj Finance Limited CRISIL A/Stable
Criteria Details
Links to related criteria
Rating criteria for manufaturing and service sector companies
CRISILs Approach to Financial Ratios
CRISILs Bank Loan Ratings - process, scale and default recognition
Rating Criteria for Steel Industry
Understanding CRISILs Ratings and Rating Scales

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